Economics FAQs
A basic understanding of economics is essential in order carry on an informed
discourse on public policy matters. Here we present brief answers to basic
economics questions that every socially responsible undergraduate should
know. We describe how the economy functions without recommending any particular
policies.
What is the impact of NAFTA on the U.S.?
What is the problem with taxing corporations?
Is globalization really significant for
the U.S.?
Does foreign competition affect American prosperity?
Should we raise the minimum wage to $6 an hour?
Does economic growth hurt the environment?
Why do some countries grow more quickly than others?
What is the impact of NAFTA on the U.S.?
For the United States, NAFTA is essentially a foreign-policy issue rather
than an economic issue. Mexico's government needs NAFTA, and the United
States has a strong interest in helping that government. The economic impact
for the United States is minimal. Essentially all we are doing is lowering
tariffs which are already low (from 4% on average to 0%) to imports from
a country which is one-twentieth the size of the U.S. economy. Consequently
NAFTA will only produce a small gain in overall U.S. real income, perhaps
a little over 0.1% of U.S. GDP. Mexico will benefit much more and can expect
GDP to be about 4% higher than it otherwise would be. However, economic
thoery suggests that there should be a slight fall in the real wages of
unskilled U.S. workers. To this date there is no empirical evidence demonstrating
this decline, but our best guess has to be that there will be a small negative
effect. NAFTA will have no effect on the number of jobs in the United States.
The number of jobs in the U.S. depends mostly on the number of workers
in the U.S. and the policies of the Federal Reserve. And finally, NAFTA
will not hurt and may help the environment. The U.S. has made the environment
an issue, and Mexico will enfore its environmental laws more strictly than
it otherwise would have. Furthermore, industrialization will shift from
the Mexico City to the north alleviating the pollution in a valley a mile
above sea level with over 20 million residents.
What is the problem with taxing corporations?
Like most people, economists would like to see more equity in the tax system.
By equity, we mean that families with similar incomes should pay similar
taxes, and that rich families should pay more in taxes than poor families.
But when we tax corporations, we have no idea who is actually bearing the
burden of the tax. The most important thing to realize is that
people
pay all taxes. If you impose a tax on General Motors, then GM may lower
dividends to its stockholders, pay lower wages to its workers, or charge
higher prices to its customers. It must do at least one of these, and will
most likely do all three. Thus a tax on GM is actually paid by it stockholders,
its employees and its customers. Will rich families pay more of this tax
than poor families? Will families with similar incomes pay similar taxes?
We have no idea.
Is globalization really significant for the
U.S.?
One measure of the degree of globalization, though certainly not the only
one, is the quantity of exports and imports as a percentage of GDP. On
the table below we have the export share and import share of GDP every
ten years since 1960. You can see that over time we have come to trade
a larger and larger share of our goods and services.
YEAR
|
1960
|
1970
|
1980
|
1990
|
2000
|
EXPORTS/GDP
|
5.13%
|
5.75%
|
10.06%
|
9.52%
|
11.17%
|
IMPORTS/GDP
|
4.34%
|
5.36%
|
10.53%
|
10.86%
|
15.03%
|
Though the degree of globalization will certainly continue to rise over
time, the pace of the change may have slowed down. The most
dramatic changes occured in the 1970's when the amout of trade doubled. There were improvements in transportation
like larger merchant ships along with long distance and wide-body jets.
Advances in telecommunications allowed firms to communicate with customers
all over the globe. The products of modern technology became lighter and
easier to transport. And government trade policies became more consistent
with our understanding that free trade benefits all countries.
Does foreign competition affect American prosperity?
It is important to remember that countries do not compete with each other
in the same way that companies in the same industry compete with each other.
One company's gain comes at the expense of another company's loss. But
international trade is not about competition, it is about mutually beneficial
exchange. When countries trade with each other, the trade benefits both
countries. In fact, it is imports, and not exports, that are the purpose
of trade. What we gain from trade is the ability to import what we want.
Exports are not an objective in and of themselves. It is the burden we
must bear in order to import the goods that we enjoy.
Should we raise the minimum wage to $8 an hour?
When the price of ice cream goes up, people buy less ice cream. Similarly,
when the price of labor goes up, firms buy less labor. If we increase the
minimum wage, firms will lay off some low-wage workers increasing the number
of unemployed workers. Of course, the low-wage workers who do not lose
their jobs will see their wages go up. Thus the workers who lose their
jobs will be hurt by this policy while the workers who keep their jobs
will benefit. It is not immediately obvious if society as a whole is better
off or not.
Does economic growth hurt the environment?
There is a lot of discussion about the relationship between economic growth
and the environment. Some people argue that the increased production of
goods and services leads to the degradation of the natural environment,
both because production uses scarce natural resources and becauses it generates
pollutants as a by-product. These people argue that economic growth should
not be a goal of public policy. Others argue that richer countries can
afford cleaner environments. They can invest more in resources to clean
up the environment and in new technologies which pollute less and use natural
resources more efficiently. These people argue that economic growth is
good for the environment. Who is right?
As in most difficult issues, both sides are right and both sides are
wrong. If you look at measures like the amount of municipal waste per capita
or carbon dioxide emissions per capita, environmental problems generally
increase with economic activity. And if you look at measures like the percent
of the population with safe drinking water or the percent of the urban
population with adequate sanitation, environmental problems generally decrease
with economic activity. But if you look at measures of air quality like
urban concentrations of particulate matter or urban concentrations of sulfur
dioxide, the environmental problems are the worst in the middle income
countries. As countries grow, their air quality gets worse for a while,
but then gets better as they become richer.
Why do some countries grow more quickly than others?
In the long run the growth rate of per capita income depends primarily
on four factors. The first is the initial condition of the country. Everything
else being the same, poor countries tend to grow more quickly than rich
countries. The second has to do with government policies. Countries which
are open to free trade grow more quickly. Countries with high savings and
investment rates grow more quickly. The third has to do with demographic
change. Countries with slower rates of population growth grow more quickly.
And the fourth has to do with physical geography. Coastal economies with
access to trade grow more quickly than landlocked countries. And countries
in the temperate zone grow more quickly than countries in the tropical
zone with poor health and unproductive farming.
If you have any general economics questions, submit them to lyamane@pitzer.edu
and we may publish the answer here. For further explanations, come chat
with one of your economics faculty.